Saturday 14 May 2011

14/05/11 - Bangor

The 2.25 at Bangor is a poor race. It looks like there are only three in it with chances, the first three in the betting. None of these appeal to me as a betting proposition. Dineur is favourite and is a front runner which I'm hopeful may set this up for one of the others. He was beat last time by an 80/1 shot who has come out and won since. No doubt he'll be winning soon but the fact he hasn't won similar races yet and he's a short price put's me off. Dunowen Point has failed to win the last three times he was favourite including once at odds on. In his last race the front two have since come out and run quite well (one quite highly tried) so I think he's probably better than the favourite. Tarn Hows has some decent bumper form but it's quite a big ask to expect him to win first time over hurdles against horses that have consistently been placed.

Out of the others the only one I think represents value is Red Whisper at 66/1. He's pulled hard in every race he's had. in the last race there was no pace at all early on and he didn't settle at all. He still ran OK in the end. I'm hopeful that a stronger pace by Dineur and the extra furlong will help him and he'll run well into a place. Whether he wins is another matter.

Red Whisper 0.5 pts e/w 66/1 Boylesports/Betfred BOG

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