I must say I feel a little unlucky that Treasure Beach got touched off but fair play to Pour Moi, who has some turn of foot.
At least I've got some points back to play with. Profit on day - 1.8 points
Betting bank now 89.58 pts.
Saturday 4 June 2011
Friday 3 June 2011
04/06/11 - Epsom
Well the Saddlers Bend bet didn't work out too well as she finished last despite running well for the first 6f or so. Bank now stands at 87.78 points.
Clearly when you're picking 33/1 shots you're not going to have winners everyday but I am hoping for a better run in the Derby.
The top three in the betting all have question marks to my mind. Carlton House obviously had a bruised foot and 5/2 looks short about a horse that may not be 100%. Recital looked awkward in his last race although he won nicely enough (that said he was 1/2!). Pour Moi looks a bit short in the betting too. His beating of Bubble Chic doesn't look that good to me. The value on Seville seems to have gone to. Out of the bigger priced horses three appeal to. Native Khan came third in the Guineas, well clear of the rest of the field. That form looks good to me and I'd take a chance on him staying. That said 10/1 is not generous. Masked Marvel ran in the Sandown classic trial, so I imagine that means he showed a fair bit at home. For whatever reason, he didn't fire that day, maybe he needed the run. However next time at Goodwood he easily reversed the form with Auld Burns and i thought he won really well. I think he's a decent 28/1 shot. Treasure Beach is the other I fancy. Nathaniel was fairly high in the Derby betting before Treasure Beach beat him cosily at Chester. I think that form is better than a lot of people think. 33/1 about him seems overpriced.
4.00 Epsom Masked Marvel 28/1 0.5 pts e/w
Treasure Beach 33/1 0.5 pts e/w
Clearly when you're picking 33/1 shots you're not going to have winners everyday but I am hoping for a better run in the Derby.
The top three in the betting all have question marks to my mind. Carlton House obviously had a bruised foot and 5/2 looks short about a horse that may not be 100%. Recital looked awkward in his last race although he won nicely enough (that said he was 1/2!). Pour Moi looks a bit short in the betting too. His beating of Bubble Chic doesn't look that good to me. The value on Seville seems to have gone to. Out of the bigger priced horses three appeal to. Native Khan came third in the Guineas, well clear of the rest of the field. That form looks good to me and I'd take a chance on him staying. That said 10/1 is not generous. Masked Marvel ran in the Sandown classic trial, so I imagine that means he showed a fair bit at home. For whatever reason, he didn't fire that day, maybe he needed the run. However next time at Goodwood he easily reversed the form with Auld Burns and i thought he won really well. I think he's a decent 28/1 shot. Treasure Beach is the other I fancy. Nathaniel was fairly high in the Derby betting before Treasure Beach beat him cosily at Chester. I think that form is better than a lot of people think. 33/1 about him seems overpriced.
4.00 Epsom Masked Marvel 28/1 0.5 pts e/w
Treasure Beach 33/1 0.5 pts e/w
03/05/11 - Epsom
Not had time to post for a while and the jumps racing has not been up to much. A rare selection on the flat for me today.
Saddler Bend is in great form and goes in the 1.40. Still available at 33/1 with Stan James I reckon she's way over priced. Admittedly this is a step up in class and further improvement is needed. The trainer and jockey are both in fine form. The distance and ground should be fine. She beat a 111 rated Cecil filly last time and I think that forms been under-rated.
0.5 pts e/w Saddlers Bend 33/1 Stan James
Saddler Bend is in great form and goes in the 1.40. Still available at 33/1 with Stan James I reckon she's way over priced. Admittedly this is a step up in class and further improvement is needed. The trainer and jockey are both in fine form. The distance and ground should be fine. She beat a 111 rated Cecil filly last time and I think that forms been under-rated.
0.5 pts e/w Saddlers Bend 33/1 Stan James
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