Tuesday 10 May 2011

10/05/11 - Sedgefield

The first race at Sedgefield is truly awful in terms of quality. However that does mean it's pretty easy to narrow it down to three or four.
Rain Stops Play is odds on favourite and rightly so. The fact he hasn't won a race since 2006 is a little off putting but if he runs up to his form of his last two starts he should win this. Takaatuf ran well last time on good ground. Despite winning on the flat on Good-Firm ground back in 2009 his jump form on this surface is poor; maybe coincidence but I don't rate him a value bet at 3/1. Bonnie Baloo has won a maiden point and shown some form in bumpers, but her last run was poor. After her point win she was pulled up next time in a point. She described as moody and better on a flatter track if you search hard enough on the web. Enough to put me off at 10/1. The one who could go well is Glaced Over. However she does have to get round. She seems to go well at the track and potentially has the beating of Rain Stops Play if you look through the form. I think she'll win or fall so I'm recommending a small win only stake at 12/1. I couldn't put anyone off covering their stake with a saver on the fav if they wanted though. I can't see any of the others being involved at the finish.

Glaced Over 0.5 pt win 12/1 Hills/Boylesports

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