Wednesday 11 May 2011

11/05/11 - Perth/Fontwell

Couple of selections today

8.10 Perth Bermuda Pointe needs two miles and good to soft ground to show his best. He goes really well when fresh so his absence from racing for 221 days is a positive rather than a negative. The ground is currently Good to Soft (Soft in places) with a forecast dry day and possible showers in the evening. If the ground went really soft I'd probably give it a miss. At 10/1 it's a speculative bet. Twiston-Davies is not in the greatest of form but he did have two winners at Perth a couple of weeks ago and that gives me a little encouragement. Bermuda's record at Perth isn't great but there are excuses for those three runnings and I'm willing to take a chance. Running off 112, 4 pounds above his last winning mark is realistic and if he's in good form he should be placed. The top three in the betting all have chances but are short enough for me in a competitive race.

Bermuda Pointe 0.5 pts e/w 10/1 B365/Betfred BOG

The 4.55 at Fontwell looks a really competitive race but there are lots of ifs and buts about quite a few of these. Island News at the bottom of the handicap looks a solid e/w bet. Runner up over course and distance last time after a decent break he has improved. I'm hopeful that run will have brought some more improvement to offset him running out of the handicap. Running off 89 he looks overpriced at 14/1.

Island News 0.5 pts e/w 14/1 Betfred/Paddy Power BOG

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